The theme of “Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Mankind” was explored at last week’s PLSA Annual Conference in Manchester, with renowned AI expert and Oxford academic, Nick Bostrom, who suggested that AI represented the third major revolution in human history after the agricultural revolution and the industrial revolution. His central question: could we make similar leaps forward in performance with the brain and technology?
At eVestment, we see a nascent, but growing universe of strategies leveraging AI, scientific approaches and machine learning. We created a custom universe of 29 strategies using keyword search tools and it’s easy to see why some in the industry are predicting big things for this approach to investing. Several have delivered strong returns, whilst others have provided diversification opportunities:
Fig. 1 – Top Viewed AI/Scientific Strategies in eVestment
Source: eVestment. *Product views January 2016 – June 2017; **Annual rolling returns to end June 2017
Bostrom also suggested AI would make markets more efficient and that there could be major winners and losers. He cited NVIDIA, the chip maker, as an example of a company that could benefit. According to eVestment data, NVIDIA stock has grown in popularity amongst US Large Cap Growth Equity Managers in recent years. We analysed a universe of 222 firms with 348 strategies and 1,351 different stocks invested across the strategies. As of Q2 2017, 33% of portfolios within US Large Cap Growth managers have exposure to the stock. The level of popularity of that stock has increased.
Fig. 2 – Percentage of US Large Cap Growth Equity universe holding NVIDIA stock
The average weight of NVIDIA within portfolios in the US Large Cap Growth universe has also increased to 0.57% as of Q2 2017, meaning the level of conviction on NVIDIA for fund managers is increasing.
Fig. 3 – Average weight of NVIDIA position held by US Large Cap Growth Equity universe
Whilst AI investing is a relatively new phenomenon, it is clear this trend will have a big impact on institutional portfolios in the future. Both as a means to identify opportunities for alpha, and as a driver of performance for certain companies and sectors, we believe AI investing will bring new opportunities to profit for institutions and asset managers alike.